![]() ![]() We’ve been warned that the terrorists might use helicopters, scuba gear, even cheap prescription drugs from Canada. ![]() The threat index goes from yellow to orange and back again, although no one is entirely sure what either level means. The DHS’s threat warnings have been vague, indeterminate, and unspecific. And we now know that their primary use was political. There were never any actions associated with them. Of course, the codes never became useful. And the threat levels are publicly known, so any terrorist with a lick of sense will simply wait until the threat level goes down. Terrorist attacks are rare, and if the color-threat level changes willy-nilly with no obvious cause or effect, then people will simply stop paying attention. But even then, the real measure of effectiveness is in the implementation. If the color-alert system became something better defined, so that people know exactly what caused the levels to change, what the change means, and what actions they need to take in the event of a change, then it could be useful. The threat levels actually do more harm than good, by needlessly creating fear and confusion (which is an objective of terrorists) and anesthetizing people to future alerts and warnings. Even local police departments and government organizations largely have no idea what to do when the threat level changes. People are left to worry, or are given nonsensical instructions to buy plastic sheeting and duct tape. The color-alert system, on the other hand, is not tied to any specific actions. The difference is that the DEFCON system is tied to particular procedures military units have specific actions they need to perform every time the DEFCON level goes up or down. military has a similar system DEFCON 1-5 corresponds to the five threat alerts levels: Green, Blue, Yellow, Orange, and Red. The color-coded threat alerts issued by the Department of Homeland Security are useless today, but may become useful in the future. I wrote about the DHS’s color-coded threat alert system in 2003, in Beyond Fear: This concludes this report of the DEFCON Warning System.Modifying the Color-Coded Threat Alert System Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels. Note that Twitter updates may be subject to delays. You may also subscribe to the DEFCON Warning System mailing list. Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.įor immediate updates, go to Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System community forum and on the DEFCON Twitter feed DEFCONWSAlerts. If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats by national entities since 1984. To repeat, the odds of nuclear use in the Ukraine theatre are low, but they are increasing. It is also noted that it would be strategically advantageous for Ukraine to use a nuclear weapon and blame Russia, but not at this time when Ukraine is making advancements on the battlefield. It is not beyond reason they would miscalculate again. Strategically, it makes no sense for Russia to launch a nuclear attack, however Russia has badly miscalculated the entire war. It must be noted that both Russia and Ukraine have warned of possible nuclear attack for months and nothing has come of it. There is no immediate danger to the Ukraine area. Intelligence experts have commented that, while the odds of nuclear use in the Ukraine theatre are low, the odds are increasing.Īctions by both Western States and Russia indicate heightened alerts with regard to possible nuclear attack.īased on The DEFCON Warning System analysis, out of an abundance of caution, citizens in Ukraine and the surrounding areas are advised to take the steps necessary in the event of a possible attack. However, The DEFCON Warning System has noted an increase in activity on both sides, indicating that public statements are not in line with what everyone believes. Dirty bombs are not nuclear weapons but are conventional laced with radioactive material to spread contamination over an area.īoth sides have stated that they will not use either dirty bombs or nuclear weapons. The nuclear rhetoric between Russia and Ukraine has increased, with each side claiming the other is preparing for a radiological attack using what is called a “dirty bomb”. There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time, however the situation is considered fluid and can change rapidly. ![]()
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